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Weekly Stock Market Commentary 1/8/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

On Monday, January 4th, the new year got off to a rocky start as selling built and exploded into a 90+ point selloff in $SPX. However, the decline bottomed at 3662, and the market has been rallying ever since. That brief selloff seems to have rejuvenated the market, and not only are new all-time highs being made, but they have been accompanied once again by rapidly expanding breadth.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 12/31/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

It looks like things are going to be very interesting in the new year. The market is strong, as evidenced by new all-time highs in all of the major indices this past week $SPX, $NDX, $DJX, and $RUT (although $RUT has faltered a bit in the last couple of days). Since price action is the most important indicator, the overall trend remains bullish as long as $SPX holds above support.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 12/24/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The bears took advantage of a small window before the "Santa Claus rally" begins to drive $SPX down a bit. Once again, support in the 3630 3650 area has held. We are still viewing 3550 as the more important support area, for if that were broken, then the $SPX chart would take on a bearish aura.

Equity-only put-call ratios continue to decline, and thus they remain on buy signals. They are extremely overbought, but that is not a sell signal.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 12/18/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The major indices -- $SPX/SPY, $NDX/QQQ, $DJX/DIA, and $RUT/IWM -- are all at new all-time intraday and closing highs. Clearly, this market has momentum.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 12/11/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

All of the major averages have made new all-time highs this week: $SPX (SPY), $DJX (DIA), $NDX (QQQ), and yes, even $RUT(IWM). In fact, IWM is outperforming the rest at this time, for the first time in a long while.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 12/4/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Over the past three days, $SPX finally managed to break out to new all-time closing and intraday highs. Thus, the $SPX chart is bullish, as there is no classical resistance -- by definition -- when it is at all-time highs.

$SPX has advanced an astonishing 1,500 points, or 68%, from the March lows. No matter how you interpret that, it does not jibe with the economics caused by COVID-19. But TINA and FOMO are formidable proponents of buying stocks, and they have certainly won the day.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 11/30/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on Monday, November 30th, 2020.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 11/27/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The stock market came into the Thanksgiving holiday in a very strong fashion -- continuing the strong rally that has taken place throughout November. A move above 3644 would be into new all-time intraday high territory. Once $SPX makes that move, there is no resistance in the traditional sense.

Meanwhile, on the downside, there is support just above 3500. A close below there would be very negative, for it would place $SPX back within the old trading range.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 11/20/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The broad market, as measured by $SPX, finally reached a new all-time closing high this week, at 3626 on Tuesday, November 16th. It was unable to hold that level and has now fallen back a bit. In fact, it has closed back below the old September highs of 3588. That in itself is not a problem, but if $SPX were to close below 3500, that would be bearish.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 11/13/2020

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Last Monday, the COVID-19 vaccine new caused $SPX to gap up 135 points on Monday's open. That was the largest percentage gap to a new all-time high in history.

As traders know, there's an old adage to "sell the news," especially if there has been anticipatory buying before "the news." And they did, drving $SPX back inside its 3200-3600 trading range.


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