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Weekly Stock Market Commentary 5/21/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) made a new all-time high on May 7th. Since then, a correction has been underway, and there have been several times in the last week when I'm sure that both the bulls and the bears thought they had taken control. There were two rather violent declines, both terminating near the 4060 level, so that is now the first support level. Both of those declines were followed by furious rallies back to the slightly declining 20-day Moving Average. A breakout from the current range should see follow-through in that same direction.

A Timely MVB Sell Signal in Ethereum

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Our McMillan Volatility Bands Buy/Sell Signals product for TradingView is great at identifying overbought and oversold cryptocurrencies conditions. The latest Ethereum Sell Signal on May 16th was certainly timely. See the chart below.

MVB Signal Scanner Now Includes Crypto

By Lawrence G. McMillan

We're proud to announce that McMillan's Volatility Bands Signal Scanner now includes all Cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, etc.

Each morning, you will receive an email containing the new MVB buy & sell signals from our curated list of tradable assets including stocks, ETFs, futures, and now cryptocurrencies.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 5/14/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

On Friday, May 7th, $SPX broke out to a new all-time high and so did the Dow ($DJX). However, after an early Monday morning rally, things reversed badly, and $SPX dropped sharply for the first three days this week, losing a whopping 173 $SPX points.

But there was no follow-through the next day, and in fact $SPX has rallied strongly, regaining the 4120 level and more.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 5/10/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

From early March through mid-April, $SPX was on a tear. Since then, it went mostly moved sideways, while establishing a support area near 4120. Now it's broken out to the upside again. Below 4120, there is support near 4000 (the March highs), but that is an area that was never tested, since $SPX just blew right through the March highs on a double gap move higher in early April. Finally, the support at 3850-3870 is still important, for that is the area from which the current leg of this rally was launched.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/30/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The pace of the market's advance has slowed from the torrid run that it had between March 26th and April 16th, but $SPX is still making new all-time highs almost every day.

$SPX has three major support levels, all noted with horizontal red lines on the chart in Figure 1: 4120 (which is the daily lows of several days during April), 4000 (which was the March high), and 3850-3870 (which is the area from which the current leg of this bull market rally emanated on March 26th.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/23/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

After reaching new all-time highs a week ago, the market has stumbled a bit this week. The overbought conditions are beginning to take a toll, but the overall trend is still bullish at this point.

There is support at this week's lows roughly 4120, with stronger support just below 4000 (the March highs), and the major support at 3850-3870. If 4000 is penetrated that would be a short- term negative, and if 3870 is penetrated that would be a major change of trend.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/16/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

This market is still akin to a runaway freight train. The momentum is strong and positive, and there are no confirmed sell signals at this time. This has made the market "overbought" in a general sense, but subscribers know that "overbought does not mean sell." Only confirmed sell signals mean "sell."

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/9/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The recent pattern of the markets has changed slightly. Yes, $SPX is continuing to make new all-time highs almost daily, but now NASDAQ ($NDX; QQQ) is catching up and the Dow ($DJX; DIA) is slowing down.

The Seasonality Of $VIX - 2021 Update (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

We occasionally publish the composite chart of $VIX dating back to near its inception. For these purposes, we use the original $VIX – $VXO – since it has the longest price history. That history is shown in the chart on the below. It has generally been the case that $VIX rises early in the year, peaks in the spring, declines into the late summer, and then begins a rapid acceleration in October, before finally tailing off towards the end of the year.


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