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Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/28/2025

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The current rally in $SPX is behaving very much likely a typical oversold rally and not something stronger. $SPX rallied up to its declining 20-day Moving Average, and overshot it slightly. Then it backed off again. That is classic action for an oversold rally. In this particular case, $SPX also ran into its 200-day Moving Average, at the same level. The highs of this week are just below 5800, so that is resistance. 

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/21/2025

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The stock market, as measured by $SPX, has tried to rally over the past week, with a couple of strong days to show for it. But resistance at or just above 5700 has proven to be strong, and so the rally has been repelled from that level. Oversold rallies typically reach and slightly exceed their declining 20-day moving averages. In this case, that moving average is at 5760 and falling rapidly. It looks more like the moving average will fall to meet $SPX, rather than $SPX rallying to meet the moving average.

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