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Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/3/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Volatility continues to be elevated both in terms of realized and implied. $SPX dropped sharply early in the week as various support levels gave way on the $SPX chart. Of primary concern was the violation of the 6475-6550 support area. Eventually, $SPX bottomed on Tuesday, with a low near 6330 which was also a minor low last August. There should also be support near 6200 (the lows of last July).

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/27/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The major averages continue to decline, and they are in a seriously bearish mode. Moreover, the pattern of lower highs and lower lows persists, so there is a distinct downtrend line that can be drawn (see Figure 1, purple line).

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/20/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The downtrend on the $SPX chart is obvious, even to the casual observer. Not only are there now lower highs and lower lows, but the short-term moving averages as well as the "modified Bollinger Bands" are all sloping downwards.

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/13/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

It certainly took a while, but $SPX has finally closed below its December low of 6720. On average, statistics show a further decline of 10% when that occurs. Sometimes these declines take months, or even a year or more. It doesn't necessarily mean that $SPX is suddenly going to drop 10%. But the target is now $SPX 6050, roughly. Of course, that's an average result.

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