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Weekly Stock Market Commentary 6/18/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The broad market ($SPX) has failed to convincingly break out to a new high, and now it is back below the old (early May) highs of 4238. A close below 4190 would indicate to me that the attempted upside breakout had failed.

Despite recent market weakness over the past four days, the equity-only put-call ratios remain on buy signals. The standard ratio (Figure 2) flattened out yesterday, but the weighted ratio continues to drop. These ratios will remain on buy signals as long as they are declining.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 6/14/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on Monday, June 14th, 2021.

Double Buy Signal in $ARKK

By Lawrence G. McMillan

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) recently gave both a McMillan Volatility Bands and Put-Call Ratio buy signal and broke it's recent downtrend; therefore we expect higher prices for the etf. See the charts below.

The Option Strategist Newsletter 2020 Profit/Loss Summary

By Lawrence G. McMillan

We have completed the Profit and Loss and Rate Of Return calculations for 2020. The following table sums up one of the best years in our history – the best since the 1990's in percentage terms (+42.2%), and the best ever in terms of total profits (+$146,830). We will soon be sending out a detailed article discussing the various facets of these rather broad categories.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 6/7/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on Monday, June 7th, 2021.

Expensive Option Strategies (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Normally, we have “Naked Put Writes” in this section of the newsletter. But with the explosion in implied volatility and stock price in several “short squeeze” stocks (or “meme stocks,” if you prefer: a meme stock is any publicly traded company that is benefitting from the fact that investors are using social media to drive interest in the company's shares).

The following table shows the current status of the most expensive of these in terms of implied volatility:

Put-Call Ratio Buy Signal in Salesforce ($CRM)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Salesforce.com (CRM) just gave a weighted Put-Call Ratio buy signal today. Past signals in this stock have been decent, but this signal looks promising with break out of the recent downtrend. See the charts below:

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 6/4/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The stock market has run into considerable resistance at the top of the trading range, as it appears to be consolidating for a violent move either an upside breakout to new all-time highs, or a failure at the top of the range, leading to a swift retracement to the bottom of the range (4060). Since May 24th, $SPX has not closed above 4208 nor below 4192. That is an extremely narrow range, considering the volatility that has been displayed since February 2020.

The smart way to play AMC’s stock

By Lawrence G. McMillan

AMC Entertainment Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.

The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at one point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)

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