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Update on: Disorder In the Volatility Markets (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Both in May 2025 and October 2025, we published articles with the above title.  I won’t include them here, because they were too long, but one can find them in the archives of The Option Strategist Newsletter on the website.  I will, however, summarize them.  It turns out that when realized volatility and implied volatility differ by a substantial amount, it can be a market-predicting event.  Here’s the quick summary, using the 20-day historical volatility of $SPX (HV20) as realized volatility and $VIX as implied volatility:

The Mechanics behind Volatility Derivatives Webinar

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Volatility is one of the most misunderstood — and most powerful — forces in the options market. In this webinar, we go far beyond the basic definition of $VIX and examine how volatility derivatives actually behave in real market conditions. From understanding the mechanics of $VIX futures and term structure, to implementing “The Big (Volatility) Short,” to using $VIX/SPY hedged spreads during extreme discounts, this session focuses on practical strategy. If you trade options, manage portfolio risk, or use volatility products like VXX, SVXY, or $VIX options, understanding how these instruments are constructed — and when they diverge — is essential.

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