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Is it Too Soon to “Buy Volatility?” (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

As we stated many times in this week's Stock Market Commentary, there are overbought conditions but no confirmed sell signals (yet).  However, we know volatility is low, and we also know that it generally begins to rise in August.  

To bolster that last statement, the chart of Composite $VIX is reprinted below.  We had written an article about this a few issues ago.  The most notable thing is point C on the chart.  That is, $VIX typically makes its yearly lows in July and then begins to rise after that.

"Market" Volatility (07:12)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

This article was originally published in The Option Strategist Newsletter Volume 7, No. 12 on June 25, 1998.

With the frequent number of 100-plus point moves in the market – some in each direction – there has been a growing number of commentaries regarding market volatility. However, there has been very little, if any, discussion of just what to expect from the market at these levels. In this week’s article, we’re going to take a look at various measures of market volatility, and then see if we can determine what kind of volatility is “normal” for various scenarios.

Viewing $VIX From A Seasonal Perspective (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Periodically we publish the chart below, which shows the $VIX composite from 1989 through some more current date – 12/31/24 in this case. We usually update this chart annually, because it is meant to give some insight as to where $VIX goes at what time of the year.

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