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Weekly Stock Market Commentary 6/23/2023

By Lawrence G. McMillan

When $SPX broke out over 4300 on June 9th, a strong rally was unleashed. Perhaps that rally got carried away, as several indicators moved into overbought territory, and the Index itself traded above its +4sigma "modified Bollinger Band" (mBB). That exhausted a lot of buying power it seems, and now the Index is pulling back.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 6/16/2023

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Now that $SPX has broken out of the extended trading range (essentially 3800-4200, which lasted for over six months), it is gaining momentum as traders are trying to "catch up." This is beginning to create overbought conditions, but "overbought does not mean sell."

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 6/2/2023

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The market finally looks like it is breaking out on the upside. After numerous failed attempts to exceed and hold above 4200, $SPX seems to be on the way to doing just that. If it closes above 4210 today (June 2nd), that will be confirmation of an upside breakout.

The next target and resistance is the 4300 level the highs of last August. If that can be overcome, then the picture is quite bullish, with only 4650 (the highs of March 2022) and 4800 (the all- time highs) as obvious resistance areas.