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from Lawrence G. McMillan, best selling author and industry expert.

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May 2005 Active Trader Magazine cover and feature interview with Larry McMillan

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Larry McMillan takes the student into new worlds of technical analysis. In time, one becomes comfortable with what McMillan calls "the predictive power of options". And you come to understand that the VIX and put call ratios can, under certain circumstances, function as outstanding indicators with respect to stock market index movements. Thus, the McMillan education leads to a knowledge far beyond option strategies. The student comes to see virtually every aspect of the stock market, from its direction to its rate of price movement, through the prism of options. And all the while, at every turn, Mr. McMillan is present as a guide. This man deserves every ounce of his vast professional recognition. The English language has a word that best describes Larry Macmillan......... Teacher.
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Friday, July 3rd

This is a Portion of the FREE Weekly Commentary is a part of a comprehensive weekly posting for subscribers of The Option Strategist newsletter. Click here to receive the full commentary free via email. Click here for Testimonials.

Stock Market 

This bear market has shown just how nasty it can be. On Wednesday, new $SPX closing lows were made -- below the March and January lows. Then, on Thursday, new intraday lows were made. The Dow had already violated its lows last week. Selling spilled into sectors that had previously been strong; in fact, it was nastiest in those sectors. It was as if hedge funds and other large traders were saying, "Sell what you can, not necessarily what you want to." This is certainly a bearish development and opens up the downside for a whole new leg down, modulo any rallies that might spring up because of an extreme oversold condition.

The equity-only put-call ratios continue to remain on sell signals. The slight "wiggle" in the standard ratio last week was nothing to be concerned about. Even though these ratios gave sell signals back in late May, they still are not near the tops of their charts. Thus, they are not in oversold territory.


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Larry McMillan has authored two best selling books on Options, including Options As A Strategic Investment, recognized as essential resources for any serious option trader's library.

As president of McMillan Analysis Corporation, he authors the "Daily Volume Alerts", and edits and publishes "The Option Strategist", a derivative products newsletter covering equity, index, and futures options.

Recognized as an options trading industry expert, serious investors have relied on his insights, observations and recommendations for years.

 


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